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Northern Ireland. National Conference League. Premier Division

Rosario Y.C. vs Coagh United: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Rosario Y.C. Rosario Y.C.vsCoagh United Coagh United
Our predictionCoagh United to win
Model score: Low · 11/100
Score hint: 0-1

The model puts Coagh United at 44%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: low.

Our prediction missed (predicted: Coagh United · actual: Draw)

Win probabilities

1 · Rosario Y.C.Draw2 · Coagh United
Full team comparison

Most likely scorelines

1-112.5%
0-110.3%
1-09.2%
1-28.6%
2-17.6%
0-07.5%
Team strength rating
Rosario Y.C.
50
Coagh United
57

Expected goals

1.22Rosario Y.C.
xG
1.37Coagh United
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score52%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Rosario Y.C. Coagh United

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Coagh United win2.07Fair
Double chanceCoagh United or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0810731
1913941
26852
3232
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Rosario Y.C.2.84+0.6%
1X2Draw3.90-0.2%
1X2Coagh United2.07-0.4%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model puts Rosario Y.C. at 33%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Coagh United at 44%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.

The market frames this as a close contest. Rosario Y.C. is priced at 2.837. The draw is priced at 3.9. Coagh United is priced at 2.07.

The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Rosario Y.C. or Coagh United?

Our model rates Coagh United as the most likely outcome at 44% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Rosario Y.C. vs Coagh United?

A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

See odds at bookmakers

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.