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Northern Ireland. National Conference League. Premier Division

Dollingstown vs St. James Swifts: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Dollingstown DollingstownvsSt. James Swifts St. James Swifts
Our predictionDollingstown to win
Model score: Medium · 49/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Dollingstown at 52%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: medium.

Our prediction missed (predicted: Dollingstown · actual: Draw)

Win probabilities

1 · DollingstownDraw2 · St. James Swifts
Full team comparison
Team strength rating
Dollingstown
62
St. James Swifts
45

Most likely scorelines

1-012.5%
1-111.2%
2-010.8%
2-19.7%
0-07.2%
0-16.4%

Expected goals

1.74Dollingstown
xG
0.90St. James Swifts
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams to score49%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Dollingstown St. James Swifts

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Dollingstown win1.76Fair
Double chanceDollingstown or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0763
1121151
2111041
3663
4321
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Dollingstown1.76+0.4%
1X2Draw4.05-0.2%
1X2St. James Swifts3.62-0.2%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model puts Dollingstown at 52%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts St. James Swifts at 25%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market leans toward Dollingstown. Dollingstown is priced at 1.76. The draw is priced at 4.05. St. James Swifts is priced at 3.615.

The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Dollingstown or St. James Swifts?

Our model rates Dollingstown as the most likely outcome at 52% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Dollingstown vs St. James Swifts?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

See odds at bookmakers

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.