Austria Wien vs Braga: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Austria Wienvs
BragaThe model puts Braga at 48%. The model leans toward Braga. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Braga.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Austria Wien have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Braga have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Austria Wien have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Braga is priced at 2.05.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 2 | |
| 1 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Austria Wien at 25%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Braga at 48%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Braga. Austria Wien is priced at 3.66. The draw is priced at 3.42. Braga is priced at 2.05.
Austria Wien have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Austria Wien have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Braga have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Braga are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Austria Wien or Braga?
Our model rates Braga as the most likely outcome at 48% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Austria Wien vs Braga?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Austria Wien wins, 0 draws, 0 Braga wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.