Partizan Belgrade vs Getafe: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Partizan Belgradevs
GetafeThe model puts Getafe at 44%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Getafe.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Partizan Belgrade have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Getafe have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Partizan Belgrade have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Getafe is priced at 2.29.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Partizan Belgrade at 29%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Getafe at 44%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Partizan Belgrade is priced at 3.2. The draw is priced at 3.28. Getafe is priced at 2.29.
Partizan Belgrade have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Partizan Belgrade have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Getafe have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Getafe are on 3 wins in a row.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Partizan Belgrade or Getafe?
Our model rates Getafe as the most likely outcome at 44% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Partizan Belgrade vs Getafe?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 Partizan Belgrade wins, 0 draws, 0 Getafe wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.