St. Gallen vs Nordsjaelland: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
St. Gallenvs
NordsjaellandThe model puts St. Gallen at 42%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Nordsjaelland.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- St. Gallen have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Nordsjaelland have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- St. Gallen have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- St. Gallen is priced at 2.195.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts St. Gallen at 42%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Nordsjaelland at 33%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. St. Gallen is priced at 2.195. The draw is priced at 3.74. Nordsjaelland is priced at 3.025.
St. Gallen have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
St. Gallen have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Nordsjaelland have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Nordsjaelland are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, St. Gallen or Nordsjaelland?
Our model rates St. Gallen as the most likely outcome at 42% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for St. Gallen vs Nordsjaelland?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 1 St. Gallen wins, 0 draws, 0 Nordsjaelland wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.