Ajax vs Sion: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Ajaxvs
SionThe model puts Ajax at 72%. The model leans toward Ajax. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Ajax.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Ajax have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sion have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Ajax is priced at 1.35.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 1 | 15 | 7 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 16 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 12 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 6 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 3 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Ajax at 72%. The model puts the draw at 16%. The model puts Sion at 12%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Ajax. Ajax is priced at 1.35. The draw is priced at 5.5. Sion is priced at 7.5.
Sion have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
Ajax have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Ajax are on 2 wins in a row. Sion have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 35% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Ajax or Sion?
Our model rates Ajax as the most likely outcome at 72% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Ajax vs Sion?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Ajax wins, 0 draws, 1 Sion wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.