Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Hapoel Tel Avivvs
AtalantaThe model puts Atalanta at 61%. The model leans toward Atalanta. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Atalanta.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Hapoel Tel Aviv have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Atalanta have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Atalanta is priced at 1.57.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 1 |
| 1 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 3 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | |||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Hapoel Tel Aviv at 17%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Atalanta at 61%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Atalanta. Hapoel Tel Aviv is priced at 5.7. The draw is priced at 4.14. Atalanta is priced at 1.57.
The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Hapoel Tel Aviv have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Atalanta have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 44% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Hapoel Tel Aviv or Atalanta?
Our model rates Atalanta as the most likely outcome at 61% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Hapoel Tel Aviv wins, 1 draws, 0 Atalanta wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.