Rakow Czestochowa vs Hajduk Split: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Rakow Czestochowavs
Hajduk SplitThe model puts Rakow Czestochowa at 42%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Rakow Czestochowa have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Hajduk Split have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Rakow Czestochowa is priced at 2.264.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Rakow Czestochowa at 42%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts Hajduk Split at 29%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Rakow Czestochowa. Rakow Czestochowa is priced at 2.264. The draw is priced at 3.32. Hajduk Split is priced at 3.22.
The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Rakow Czestochowa have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Hajduk Split have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Rakow Czestochowa or Hajduk Split?
Our model rates Rakow Czestochowa as the most likely outcome at 42% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Rakow Czestochowa vs Hajduk Split?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 1 meetings: 0 Rakow Czestochowa wins, 1 draws, 0 Hajduk Split wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.