← All predictions
UEFA Conference League

AS Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

AS Monaco AS MonacovsGornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze
Our predictionAS Monaco to win
Model score: High · 92/100
Score hint: 2-0

The model puts AS Monaco at 69%. The model leans toward AS Monaco. Confidence: high.

Win probabilities

1 · AS MonacoDraw2 · Gornik Zabrze
Full team comparison

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo1.97+16.9%
1X2AS Monaco1.37+0.3%
1X2Gornik Zabrze7.90-0.1%
1X2Draw5.05-0.2%
BTTSYes1.75-16.9%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
AS Monaco
75
Gornik Zabrze
39

Recent form

AS MonacoWLDWL
Gornik ZabrzeWLLWL

Most likely scorelines

2-015.9%
1-014.8%
3-011.4%
2-18.4%
1-17.8%
0-06.9%

Expected goals

2.15AS Monaco
xG
0.52Gornik Zabrze
Over 2.5 goals50%
Both teams to score36%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
AS Monaco Gornik Zabrze

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2AS Monaco win1.37Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
074
11582
21682
31162
463
531

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts AS Monaco at 69%. The model puts the draw at 19%. The model puts Gornik Zabrze at 12%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.

The market leans toward AS Monaco. AS Monaco is priced at 1.37. The draw is priced at 5.05. Gornik Zabrze is priced at 7.9.

Gornik Zabrze have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.

AS Monaco have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Gornik Zabrze have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 36% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, AS Monaco or Gornik Zabrze?

Our model rates AS Monaco as the most likely outcome at 69% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for AS Monaco vs Gornik Zabrze?

A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 1 meetings: 0 AS Monaco wins, 0 draws, 1 Gornik Zabrze wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.