Racing de Santander vs Elche: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Racing de Santandervs
ElcheThe model puts Racing de Santander at 38%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Elche.
- −The head-to-head record favours Elche (2-4-4).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Racing de Santander have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Elche have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Racing de Santander have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Racing de Santander is priced at 2.39.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 3 | ||
| 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Racing de Santander at 38%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Elche at 36%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Racing de Santander is priced at 2.39. The draw is priced at 3.4. Elche is priced at 2.93.
Racing de Santander have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Elche have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.
Racing de Santander have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Elche have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Racing de Santander or Elche?
Our model rates Racing de Santander as the most likely outcome at 38% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Racing de Santander vs Elche?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 10 meetings: 2 Racing de Santander wins, 4 draws, 4 Elche wins.
League table
Spain. La Liga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sevilla | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 2 |  Deportivo Alaves | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:1 | 4 |
| 3 |  Espanyol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 4 |  Atletico Madrid | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 5 |  Real Madrid | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 6 |  Real Betis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 7 |  Villarreal | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 8 | Racing de Santander | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 9 | Elche | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 10 |  Deportivo de A Coruna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 11 |  Celta | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 12 |  Valencia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 13 |  Rayo Vallecano | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 14 |  Barcelona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 |  Real Sociedad | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 17 |  Athletic Bilbao | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 18 |  Malaga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 19 |  Getafe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:3 | 0 |
| 20 |  Levante UD | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.