Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Larnevs
Lincoln Red ImpsThe model puts Larne at 49%. The model leans toward Larne. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Larne.
- −The head-to-head record favours Lincoln Red Imps (1-0-2).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Larne have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Lincoln Red Imps have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Larne have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Larne is priced at 2.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Larne at 49%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Lincoln Red Imps at 26%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Larne. Larne is priced at 2. The draw is priced at 3.6. Lincoln Red Imps is priced at 3.62.
Larne have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. Lincoln Red Imps have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
Larne have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Lincoln Red Imps have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Larne or Lincoln Red Imps?
Our model rates Larne as the most likely outcome at 49% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 3 meetings: 1 Larne wins, 0 draws, 2 Lincoln Red Imps wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.