Newcastle United U21 vs Tottenham Hotspur U21: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Newcastle United U21vs
Tottenham Hotspur U21The model puts Tottenham Hotspur U21 at 44%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Tottenham Hotspur U21 (2-0-4).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Newcastle United U21 have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Tottenham Hotspur U21 have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Newcastle United U21 have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Tottenham Hotspur U21 is priced at 2.13.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Newcastle United U21 at 33%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Tottenham Hotspur U21 at 44%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Newcastle United U21 is priced at 2.711. The draw is priced at 3.8. Tottenham Hotspur U21 is priced at 2.13.
Newcastle United U21 have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Tottenham Hotspur U21 have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
Newcastle United U21 have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Tottenham Hotspur U21 have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Newcastle United U21 or Tottenham Hotspur U21?
Our model rates Tottenham Hotspur U21 as the most likely outcome at 44% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Newcastle United U21 vs Tottenham Hotspur U21?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 2 Newcastle United U21 wins, 0 draws, 4 Tottenham Hotspur U21 wins.
League table
England. Premier League 2| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Fulham U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 2 |  Leeds United U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 3 |  Brentford U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 4 |  Aston Villa U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 5 |  Bournemouth U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 6 |  Norwich City U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 7 |  Arsenal U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 8 |  Crystal Palace U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 9 |  Everton U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 10 |  Liverpool U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 11 |  West Ham United U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 12 |  Southampton U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 13 |  Birmingham City U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 |  Blackburn Rovers U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 |  Leicester City U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 |  Manchester City U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 17 |  Manchester United U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 18 | Newcastle United U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 20 |  Reading U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 21 |  Sunderland U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 22 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 23 |  Ipswich Town U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 24 |  Derby County U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 25 | Tottenham Hotspur U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 26 |  West Bromwich Albion U21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:4 | 0 |
| 27 |  Burnley U21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:4 | 0 |
| 28 |  Stoke City U21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 29 |  Chelsea U21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 30 |  Brighton & Hove Albion U21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 31 |  Middlesbrough U21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.