Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham Hotspur: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Nottingham Forestvs
Tottenham HotspurThe model puts Tottenham Hotspur at 38%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Nottingham Forest.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Nottingham Forest have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Tottenham Hotspur have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Nottingham Forest have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Tottenham Hotspur is priced at 2.6.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 3 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 1 | |||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Nottingham Forest at 34%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts Tottenham Hotspur at 38%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Nottingham Forest is priced at 2.696. The draw is priced at 3.36. Tottenham Hotspur is priced at 2.6.
Nottingham Forest have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings. Tottenham Hotspur have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Nottingham Forest have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Tottenham Hotspur have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Tottenham Hotspur are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 53% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Nottingham Forest or Tottenham Hotspur?
Our model rates Tottenham Hotspur as the most likely outcome at 38% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham Hotspur?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 8 Nottingham Forest wins, 1 draws, 6 Tottenham Hotspur wins.
League table
England. Premier League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brighton & Hove Albion | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 3 |  Brentford | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 4 |  Everton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 5 |  Hull City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 6 |  Chelsea | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 7 |  Manchester City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 8 |  Ipswich Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 9 |  Leeds United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 10 |  Liverpool | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 11 |  Newcastle United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 12 |  Fulham | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 13 |  Sunderland | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 14 |  Bournemouth | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 15 | Nottingham Forest | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 16 |  Manchester United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 17 |  Crystal Palace | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 18 | Tottenham Hotspur | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:3 | 0 |
| 19 |  Coventry City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:3 | 0 |
| 20 |  Aston Villa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:4 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.