Ipswich Town vs Liverpool: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Ipswich Townvs
LiverpoolThe model puts Liverpool at 55%. The model leans toward Liverpool. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Ipswich Town.
- −The head-to-head record favours Ipswich Town (7-3-2).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Ipswich Town have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Liverpool have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Ipswich Town have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Liverpool is priced at 1.584.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 1 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Ipswich Town at 25%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Liverpool at 55%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Liverpool. Ipswich Town is priced at 5.1. The draw is priced at 4.4. Liverpool is priced at 1.584.
Ipswich Town have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings. Liverpool have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Ipswich Town have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Liverpool have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Ipswich Town or Liverpool?
Our model rates Liverpool as the most likely outcome at 55% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Ipswich Town vs Liverpool?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 12 meetings: 7 Ipswich Town wins, 3 draws, 2 Liverpool wins.
League table
England. Premier League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brighton & Hove Albion | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 3 |  Brentford | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 4 |  Everton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 5 |  Hull City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 6 |  Chelsea | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 7 |  Manchester City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 8 | Ipswich Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 9 |  Leeds United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 10 | Liverpool | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 11 |  Newcastle United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 12 |  Fulham | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 13 |  Sunderland | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 14 |  Bournemouth | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 15 |  Nottingham Forest | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 16 |  Manchester United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 17 |  Crystal Palace | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 18 |  Tottenham Hotspur | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:3 | 0 |
| 19 |  Coventry City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:3 | 0 |
| 20 |  Aston Villa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:4 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.