Academico de Viseu vs Porto: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Academico de Viseuvs
PortoThe model puts Porto at 73%. The model leans toward Porto. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Porto.
- +The head-to-head record favours Porto (0-1-5).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Academico de Viseu have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Porto have 5 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Porto is priced at 1.325.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12 | 21 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 1 |
| 1 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 2 | |
| 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | |||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Academico de Viseu at 11%. The model puts the draw at 17%. The model puts Porto at 73%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Porto. Academico de Viseu is priced at 9. The draw is priced at 5.3. Porto is priced at 1.325.
Porto have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Academico de Viseu have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Porto have 5 wins in their last 5 matches. Porto are on 5 wins in a row.
Academico de Viseu average 0 goals per game this season. Academico de Viseu average 60% possession. Porto average 2 goals per game this season. Porto average 52% possession.
The model gives 28% for both teams to score. The model gives 35% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Academico de Viseu or Porto?
Our model rates Porto as the most likely outcome at 73% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Academico de Viseu vs Porto?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 0 Academico de Viseu wins, 1 draws, 5 Porto wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
League table
Campeonato de Portugal| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 9 |
| 2 |  Sporting Clube de Portugal | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 7 |
| 3 |  Santa Clara | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 4 |  Marítimo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 6 |  Benfica | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9:2 | 4 |
| 7 |  Nacional da Madeira | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 8 |  Gil Vicente | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 9 |  Vitoria Guimaraes | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 10 |  Rio Ave | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 11 |  Estrela da Amadora | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 2 |
| 12 | Academico de Viseu | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | 2 |
| 13 |  Braga | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 14 |  Famalicao | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 15 |  Estoril | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | 1 |
| 16 |  Moreirense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 17 |  Alverca | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:7 | 1 |
| 18 |  Casa Pia | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:8 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.