Crystal Palace vs Ipswich Town: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Crystal Palacevs
Ipswich TownThe model puts Crystal Palace at 49%. The model leans toward Crystal Palace. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Ipswich Town.
- +The head-to-head record favours Crystal Palace (9-2-4).
- −Crystal Palace are dealing with notable absentees.
- +Ipswich Town are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Crystal Palace have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Ipswich Town have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Crystal Palace have won 9 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Crystal Palace will be without Mateta, Nketiah, Riad Ch., Sarr.
- Ipswich Town will be without Matusiwa, Taylor Ja., Philogene-Bidace.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Crystal Palace at 49%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Ipswich Town at 27%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Crystal Palace. Crystal Palace is priced at 2.115. The draw is priced at 3.54. Ipswich Town is priced at 3.34.
Crystal Palace have won 9 of the head-to-head meetings. Ipswich Town have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Crystal Palace have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Crystal Palace are on 2 wins in a row. Ipswich Town have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
Crystal Palace average 1 goals per game this season. Crystal Palace average 28% possession. Ipswich Town average 2 goals per game this season. Ipswich Town average 40% possession.
The model gives 56% for both teams to score. The model gives 56% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Crystal Palace or Ipswich Town?
Our model rates Crystal Palace as the most likely outcome at 49% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Crystal Palace vs Ipswich Town?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 9 Crystal Palace wins, 2 draws, 4 Ipswich Town wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.