Coventry City vs Brighton & Hove Albion: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Coventry Cityvs
Brighton & Hove AlbionThe model puts Brighton & Hove Albion at 53%. The model leans toward Brighton & Hove Albion. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Brighton & Hove Albion (2-4-4).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Coventry City have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Brighton & Hove Albion have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Coventry City have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Brighton & Hove Albion is priced at 1.83.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 1 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Coventry City at 23%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Brighton & Hove Albion at 53%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Brighton & Hove Albion. Coventry City is priced at 4.14. The draw is priced at 3.74. Brighton & Hove Albion is priced at 1.83.
Coventry City have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Brighton & Hove Albion have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.
Coventry City have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Brighton & Hove Albion have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Coventry City or Brighton & Hove Albion?
Our model rates Brighton & Hove Albion as the most likely outcome at 53% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Coventry City vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 10 meetings: 2 Coventry City wins, 4 draws, 4 Brighton & Hove Albion wins.
League table
England. Premier League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 9 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 9 |
| 3 |  Hull City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:0 | 7 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 5 |  Brentford | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:2 | 5 |
| 6 |  Liverpool | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:4 | 5 |
| 7 |  Newcastle United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:4 | 5 |
| 8 |  Everton | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:3 | 5 |
| 9 |  Leeds United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 10 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 11 |  Manchester United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 4 |
| 12 |  Sunderland | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 13 |  Crystal Palace | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 14 |  Ipswich Town | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 15 |  Bournemouth | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | 2 |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:3 | 2 |
| 17 |  Aston Villa | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:5 | 1 |
| 18 |  Tottenham Hotspur | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:5 | 1 |
| 19 |  Fulham | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4:7 | 0 |
| 20 | Coventry City | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0:5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.