Tottenham Hotspur vs Everton: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Tottenham Hotspurvs
EvertonThe model puts Tottenham Hotspur at 47%. The model leans toward Tottenham Hotspur. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Everton.
- +The head-to-head record favours Tottenham Hotspur (7-5-3).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Tottenham Hotspur have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Everton have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Tottenham Hotspur have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Tottenham Hotspur is priced at 2.02.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Tottenham Hotspur at 47%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Everton at 28%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Tottenham Hotspur. Tottenham Hotspur is priced at 2.02. The draw is priced at 3.56. Everton is priced at 3.6.
Tottenham Hotspur have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings. Everton have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 5 of their head-to-head meetings.
Tottenham Hotspur have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Everton have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Tottenham Hotspur or Everton?
Our model rates Tottenham Hotspur as the most likely outcome at 47% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Tottenham Hotspur vs Everton?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 7 Tottenham Hotspur wins, 5 draws, 3 Everton wins.
League table
England. Premier League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 9 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 9 |
| 3 |  Hull City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:0 | 7 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 5 |  Brentford | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:2 | 5 |
| 6 |  Liverpool | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:4 | 5 |
| 7 |  Newcastle United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:4 | 5 |
| 8 | Everton | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:3 | 5 |
| 9 |  Leeds United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 10 |  Brighton & Hove Albion | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 11 |  Manchester United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 4 |
| 12 |  Sunderland | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 13 |  Crystal Palace | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 14 |  Ipswich Town | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 15 |  Bournemouth | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | 2 |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:3 | 2 |
| 17 |  Aston Villa | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:5 | 1 |
| 18 | Tottenham Hotspur | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:5 | 1 |
| 19 |  Fulham | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4:7 | 0 |
| 20 |  Coventry City | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0:5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.