Tottenham Hotspur vs Everton: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Tottenham Hotspurvs
EvertonThe model puts Tottenham Hotspur at 48%. The model leans toward Tottenham Hotspur. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Everton.
- +The head-to-head record favours Tottenham Hotspur (7-5-3).
- −Tottenham Hotspur are dealing with notable absentees.
- +Everton are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Tottenham Hotspur have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Everton have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Tottenham Hotspur have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Tottenham Hotspur will be without Kulusevski, Mudryk, Maddison Ja., Odobert, de Andrade, Simons.
- Everton will be without Garner J., Norgaard C..
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 24 | 13 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 22 | 11 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 10 | 5 | 1 | |||
| 3 | 3 | 1 | ||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Tottenham Hotspur at 48%. The model puts the draw at 24%. The model puts Everton at 28%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Tottenham Hotspur. Tottenham Hotspur is priced at 1.97. The draw is priced at 3.64. Everton is priced at 3.68.
Tottenham Hotspur have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings. Everton have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 5 of their head-to-head meetings.
Tottenham Hotspur have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Everton have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Tottenham Hotspur average 0 goals per game this season. Tottenham Hotspur average 58% possession. Everton average 1 goals per game this season. Everton average 41% possession.
The model gives 24% for both teams to score. The model gives 17% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Tottenham Hotspur or Everton?
Our model rates Tottenham Hotspur as the most likely outcome at 48% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Tottenham Hotspur vs Everton?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 7 Tottenham Hotspur wins, 5 draws, 3 Everton wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.