UEFA Conference League

CSKA Sofia vs AS Monaco: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

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CSKA Sofiavs

AS Monaco

Our predictionAS Monaco to win

Model score: High · 86/100

Score hint: 0-1

The model puts AS Monaco at 64%. The model leans toward AS Monaco. Confidence: high.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

+Recent form favours AS Monaco.

Win probabilities

1 · CSKA Sofia16%

Draw20%

2 · AS Monaco64%

1 · CSKA SofiaDraw2 · AS Monaco

Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo1.98+10.5%

1X2AS Monaco1.50+0.8%

1X2CSKA Sofia6.05+0.2%

1X2Draw4.48-0.9%

BTTSYes1.74-10.5%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Team strength rating

CSKA Sofia

AS Monaco

Recent form

CSKA SofiaLDWLL

AS MonacoDWLWD

Most likely scorelines

0-114.5%

0-213.2%

1-110.3%

1-29.4%

0-38.0%

0-07.9%

Expected goals

0.71CSKA Sofia

1.83AS Monaco

Over 2.5 goals47%

Both teams to score43%

Match DNA

CSKA Sofia AS Monaco

Key points

CSKA Sofia have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
AS Monaco have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
CSKA Sofia have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
AS Monaco is priced at 1.504.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2AS Monaco win1.50Fair (+0.8%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	14	13	8	4	1
1	6	10	9	6	3
2	2	4	3	2
3
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts CSKA Sofia at 16%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts AS Monaco at 64%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.

The market leans toward AS Monaco. CSKA Sofia is priced at 6.05. The draw is priced at 4.48. AS Monaco is priced at 1.504.

CSKA Sofia have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.

CSKA Sofia have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. AS Monaco have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 43% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, CSKA Sofia or AS Monaco?

Our model rates AS Monaco as the most likely outcome at 64% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for CSKA Sofia vs AS Monaco?

A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 1 meetings: 1 CSKA Sofia wins, 0 draws, 0 AS Monaco wins.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

UEFA Conference League - League stage

#	Team	G	Form
1	Mjallby	0:0
2	Brighton & Hove Albion	0:0
3	AS Monaco	0:0
4	Jablonec	0:0
5	Gent	0:0	6a93f29d7762417de844fa23
6	Sint-Truidense	0:0
7	Freiburg	0:0
8	Atalanta	0:0
9	Ajax	0:0
10	Twente	0:0
11	Getafe	0:0
12	Kuopion Palloseura	0:0
13	CSKA Sofia	0:0
14	Hajduk Split	0:0
15	Pafos	0:0
16	AGF Aarhus	0:0	6a93f29d7762417de844fa23
17	Copenhagen	0:0
18	Midtjylland	0:0
19	Nordsjaelland	0:0
20	Panathinaikos	0:0
21	Brann	0:0
22	Braga	0:0
23	Heart of Midlothian	0:0
24	Lugano	0:0
25	Crvena Zvezda	0:0
26	Thun	0:0
27	Trabzonspor	0:0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0:0
29	Kairat	0:0
30	Egnatia	0:0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0:0
32	Zalgiris Kaunas	0:0
33	CS Universitatea Craiova	0:0
34	Iberia 1999	0:0
35	Lincoln Red Imps	0:0
36	Riga FC	0:0