UEFA Conference League

Heart of Midlothian vs Nordsjaelland: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

← Match page: score & lineups

Heart of Midlothianvs

Nordsjaelland

Our predictionNordsjaelland to win

Model score: Low · 5/100

Score hint: 1-2

The model puts Nordsjaelland at 39%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.

Win probabilities

1 · Heart of Midlothian35%

Draw26%

2 · Nordsjaelland39%

1 · Heart of MidlothianDraw2 · Nordsjaelland

Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo2.53+3.7%

1X2Heart of Midlothian2.77+0.6%

1X2Draw3.60-0.2%

1X2Nordsjaelland2.41-0.4%

BTTSYes1.46-3.7%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Expected goals

1.49Heart of Midlothian

1.47Nordsjaelland

Over 2.5 goals57%

Both teams to score60%

Most likely scorelines

1-111.3%

2-18.5%

1-28.3%

1-07.7%

0-17.6%

2-26.2%

Team strength rating

Heart of Midlothian

Nordsjaelland

Recent form

Heart of MidlothianDLW

NordsjaellandLWD

Match DNA

Heart of Midlothian Nordsjaelland

Key points

Heart of Midlothian have 1 wins in their last 3 matches.
Nordsjaelland have 1 wins in their last 3 matches.
Nordsjaelland is priced at 2.41.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2Nordsjaelland win2.41Fair

Double chanceNordsjaelland or draw—Info

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5	8	6	3	1
1	8	11	8	4	1
2	6	8	6	3	1
3	3	4	3	2
4	1	2	1
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Heart of Midlothian at 35%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Nordsjaelland at 39%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-2.

The market frames this as a close contest. Heart of Midlothian is priced at 2.77. The draw is priced at 3.6. Nordsjaelland is priced at 2.41.

Heart of Midlothian have 1 wins in their last 3 matches. Nordsjaelland have 1 wins in their last 3 matches.

The model gives 60% for both teams to score. The model gives 57% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Heart of Midlothian or Nordsjaelland?

Our model rates Nordsjaelland as the most likely outcome at 39% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Heart of Midlothian vs Nordsjaelland?

A scoreline around 1-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

UEFA Conference League - League stage

#	Team	G	Form
1	Mjallby	0:0
2	Brighton & Hove Albion	0:0
3	AS Monaco	0:0
4	Jablonec	0:0
5	Gent	0:0	6a93f29d7762417de844fa23
6	Sint-Truidense	0:0
7	Freiburg	0:0
8	Atalanta	0:0
9	Ajax	0:0
10	Twente	0:0
11	Getafe	0:0
12	Kuopion Palloseura	0:0
13	CSKA Sofia	0:0
14	Hajduk Split	0:0
15	Pafos	0:0
16	AGF Aarhus	0:0	6a93f29d7762417de844fa23
17	Copenhagen	0:0
18	Midtjylland	0:0
19	Nordsjaelland	0:0
20	Panathinaikos	0:0
21	Brann	0:0
22	Braga	0:0
23	Heart of Midlothian	0:0
24	Lugano	0:0
25	Crvena Zvezda	0:0
26	Thun	0:0
27	Trabzonspor	0:0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0:0
29	Kairat	0:0
30	Egnatia	0:0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0:0
32	Zalgiris Kaunas	0:0
33	CS Universitatea Craiova	0:0
34	Iberia 1999	0:0
35	Lincoln Red Imps	0:0
36	Riga FC	0:0