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UEFA Conference League

Sint-Truidense vs Iberia 1999: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Sint-Truidense Sint-TruidensevsIberia 1999 Iberia 1999
Our predictionSint-Truidense to win
Model score: High · 82/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Sint-Truidense at 70%. The model leans toward Sint-Truidense. Confidence: high.

Win probabilities

1 · Sint-Truidense70%
Draw19%
2 · Iberia 199911%
1 · Sint-TruidenseDraw2 · Iberia 1999
Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo1.82+24.6%
1X2Sint-Truidense1.36+0.3%
1X2Iberia 19998.70-0.1%
1X2Draw4.86-0.2%
BTTSYes1.88-24.6%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.
Team strength rating
Sint-Truidense
72
Iberia 1999
36

Expected goals

1.59Sint-Truidense
xG
0.37Iberia 1999
Over 2.5 goals31%
Both teams to score25%

Recent form

Sint-Truidense
Iberia 1999LWWWL

Most likely scorelines

1-022.4%
2-017.8%
0-014.1%
3-09.4%
1-18.3%
2-16.6%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Sint-Truidense Iberia 1999

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Sint-Truidense win1.36Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
0145
12282
21871
393
441
51

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Sint-Truidense at 70%. The model puts the draw at 19%. The model puts Iberia 1999 at 11%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market leans toward Sint-Truidense. Sint-Truidense is priced at 1.365. The draw is priced at 4.86. Iberia 1999 is priced at 8.7.

Iberia 1999 have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 25% for both teams to score. The model gives 31% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Sint-Truidense or Iberia 1999?

Our model rates Sint-Truidense as the most likely outcome at 70% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Sint-Truidense vs Iberia 1999?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

UEFA Conference League - League stage
#TeamGPWLTGPtsForm
1Mjallby00000:00
2Brighton & Hove Albion00000:00
3AS Monaco00000:00
4Jablonec00000:00
5Gent00000:006a93f29d7762417de844fa23
6Sint-Truidense00000:00
7Freiburg00000:00
8Atalanta00000:00
9Ajax00000:00
10Twente00000:00
11Getafe00000:00
12Kuopion Palloseura00000:00
13CSKA Sofia00000:00
14Hajduk Split00000:00
15Pafos00000:00
16AGF Aarhus00000:006a93f29d7762417de844fa23
17Copenhagen00000:00
18Midtjylland00000:00
19Nordsjaelland00000:00
20Panathinaikos00000:00
21Brann00000:00
22Braga00000:00
23Heart of Midlothian00000:00
24Lugano00000:00
25Crvena Zvezda00000:00
26Thun00000:00
27Trabzonspor00000:00
28Borac Banja Luka00000:00
29Kairat00000:00
30Egnatia00000:00
31Inter Club d'Escaldes00000:00
32Zalgiris Kaunas00000:00
33CS Universitatea Craiova00000:00
34Iberia 199900000:00
35Lincoln Red Imps00000:00
36Riga FC00000:00
Promotion - UEFA Conference League (Play-off: Round of 16) Promotion - UEFA Conference League (Play-off: Round of 32)

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.