UEFA Conference League

Egnatia vs Midtjylland: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

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Egnatiavs

Midtjylland

Our predictionMidtjylland to win

Model score: Medium · 44/100

Score hint: 0-2

The model puts Midtjylland at 61%. The model leans toward Midtjylland. Confidence: medium.

Win probabilities

1 · Egnatia17%

Draw22%

2 · Midtjylland61%

1 · EgnatiaDraw2 · Midtjylland

Full team comparison →

Expected goals

0.89Egnatia

2.09Midtjylland

Over 2.5 goals57%

Both teams to score52%

Team strength rating

Egnatia

Midtjylland

Most likely scorelines

0-211.0%

0-110.6%

1-29.9%

1-19.5%

0-37.7%

1-36.9%

Recent form

Egnatia

MidtjyllandDWWD

Match DNA

Egnatia Midtjylland

Key points

Midtjylland have 2 wins in their last 4 matches.
Midtjylland is priced at 1.54.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2Midtjylland win1.54Fair (-0.5%)

Double chanceMidtjylland or draw—Info

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	5	11	11	8	4	2
1	5	9	10	7	4	1
2	2	4	4	3	2
3		1	1
4
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSYes1.83+1.2%

1X2Egnatia5.90+0.7%

1X2Draw4.22-0.2%

1X2Midtjylland1.54-0.5%

BTTSNo1.87-1.2%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model puts Egnatia at 17%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Midtjylland at 61%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-2.

The market leans toward Midtjylland. Egnatia is priced at 5.9. The draw is priced at 4.22. Midtjylland is priced at 1.54.

Midtjylland have 2 wins in their last 4 matches.

The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 57% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Egnatia or Midtjylland?

Our model rates Midtjylland as the most likely outcome at 61% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Egnatia vs Midtjylland?

A scoreline around 0-2 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

UEFA Conference League - League stage

#	Team	G	Form
1	Mjallby	0:0
2	Brighton & Hove Albion	0:0
3	AS Monaco	0:0
4	Jablonec	0:0
5	Gent	0:0	6a93f29d7762417de844fa23
6	Sint-Truidense	0:0
7	Freiburg	0:0
8	Atalanta	0:0
9	Ajax	0:0
10	Twente	0:0
11	Getafe	0:0
12	Kuopion Palloseura	0:0
13	CSKA Sofia	0:0
14	Hajduk Split	0:0
15	Pafos	0:0
16	AGF Aarhus	0:0	6a93f29d7762417de844fa23
17	Copenhagen	0:0
18	Midtjylland	0:0
19	Nordsjaelland	0:0
20	Panathinaikos	0:0
21	Brann	0:0
22	Braga	0:0
23	Heart of Midlothian	0:0
24	Lugano	0:0
25	Crvena Zvezda	0:0
26	Thun	0:0
27	Trabzonspor	0:0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0:0
29	Kairat	0:0
30	Egnatia	0:0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0:0
32	Zalgiris Kaunas	0:0
33	CS Universitatea Craiova	0:0
34	Iberia 1999	0:0
35	Lincoln Red Imps	0:0
36	Riga FC	0:0