Atalanta vs Pafos: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Atalantavs
PafosThe model puts Atalanta at 64%. Data on this fixture is limited, so the prediction carries extra uncertainty. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Atalanta is priced at 1.49.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 10 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 5 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Atalanta at 64%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Pafos at 15%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Atalanta. Atalanta is priced at 1.49. The draw is priced at 4.38. Pafos is priced at 6.45.
The model gives 40% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Atalanta or Pafos?
Our model rates Atalanta as the most likely outcome at 64% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Atalanta vs Pafos?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
League table
UEFA Conference League - League stage| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Mjallby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 2 |  Brighton & Hove Albion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 3 |  AS Monaco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 4 |  Jablonec | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 5 |  Gent | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 6a93f29d7762417de844fa23 |
| 6 |  Sint-Truidense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 7 |  Freiburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 8 | Atalanta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 9 |  Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 10 |  Twente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 11 |  Getafe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 12 |  Kuopion Palloseura | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 13 |  CSKA Sofia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 14 |  Hajduk Split | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 15 | Pafos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 16 |  AGF Aarhus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 6a93f29d7762417de844fa23 |
| 17 |  Copenhagen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 18 |  Midtjylland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 19 |  Nordsjaelland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 20 |  Panathinaikos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 21 |  Brann | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 22 |  Braga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 23 |  Heart of Midlothian | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 24 |  Lugano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 25 |  Crvena Zvezda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 26 |  Thun | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 27 |  Trabzonspor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 28 |  Borac Banja Luka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 29 |  Kairat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 30 |  Egnatia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 31 |  Inter Club d'Escaldes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 32 |  Zalgiris Kaunas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 33 |  CS Universitatea Craiova | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 34 |  Iberia 1999 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 35 |  Lincoln Red Imps | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | |
| 36 |  Riga FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.