UEFA Conference League

Freiburg vs Jablonec: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

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Freiburgvs

Jablonec

Our predictionFreiburg to win

Model score: High · 85/100

Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Freiburg at 72%. The model leans toward Freiburg. Confidence: high.

Win probabilities

1 · Freiburg72%

Draw18%

2 · Jablonec10%

1 · FreiburgDraw2 · Jablonec

Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo1.87+26.6%

1X2Freiburg1.33+0.3%

1X2Jablonec9.10-0.1%

1X2Draw5.20-0.2%

BTTSYes1.83-26.6%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Team strength rating

Freiburg

Jablonec

Expected goals

1.63Freiburg

0.35Jablonec

Over 2.5 goals32%

Both teams to score24%

Recent form

Freiburg

JablonecWDLW

Most likely scorelines

1-022.4%

2-018.3%

0-013.8%

3-09.9%

1-17.9%

2-16.5%

Match DNA

Freiburg Jablonec

Key points

Jablonec have 2 wins in their last 4 matches.
Freiburg is priced at 1.33.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2Freiburg win1.33Fair

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1	2
0	14	5
1	22	8	1
2	18	6	1
3	10	4
4	4	1
5	1

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Freiburg at 72%. The model puts the draw at 18%. The model puts Jablonec at 10%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market leans toward Freiburg. Freiburg is priced at 1.33. The draw is priced at 5.2. Jablonec is priced at 9.1.

Jablonec have 2 wins in their last 4 matches.

The model gives 24% for both teams to score. The model gives 32% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Freiburg or Jablonec?

Our model rates Freiburg as the most likely outcome at 72% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Freiburg vs Jablonec?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

UEFA Conference League - League stage

#	Team	G	Form
1	Mjallby	0:0
2	Brighton & Hove Albion	0:0
3	AS Monaco	0:0
4	Jablonec	0:0
5	Gent	0:0	6a93f29d7762417de844fa23
6	Sint-Truidense	0:0
7	Freiburg	0:0
8	Atalanta	0:0
9	Ajax	0:0
10	Twente	0:0
11	Getafe	0:0
12	Kuopion Palloseura	0:0
13	CSKA Sofia	0:0
14	Hajduk Split	0:0
15	Pafos	0:0
16	AGF Aarhus	0:0	6a93f29d7762417de844fa23
17	Copenhagen	0:0
18	Midtjylland	0:0
19	Nordsjaelland	0:0
20	Panathinaikos	0:0
21	Brann	0:0
22	Braga	0:0
23	Heart of Midlothian	0:0
24	Lugano	0:0
25	Crvena Zvezda	0:0
26	Thun	0:0
27	Trabzonspor	0:0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0:0
29	Kairat	0:0
30	Egnatia	0:0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0:0
32	Zalgiris Kaunas	0:0
33	CS Universitatea Craiova	0:0
34	Iberia 1999	0:0
35	Lincoln Red Imps	0:0
36	Riga FC	0:0