UEFA Conference League

Riga FC vs Kairat: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

← Match page: score & lineups

Riga FCvs

Kairat

Our predictionRiga FC to win

Model score: High · 61/100

Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Riga FC at 52%. The model leans toward Riga FC. Confidence: high.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

+Recent form favours Riga FC.

Win probabilities

1 · Riga FC52%

Draw26%

2 · Kairat22%

1 · Riga FCDraw2 · Kairat

Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

BTTSNo1.88+2.9%

1X2Riga FC1.92+2.6%

1X2Kairat4.06-1.2%

1X2Draw3.48-1.4%

BTTSYes1.82-2.9%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Team strength rating

Riga FC

Kairat

Most likely scorelines

1-012.7%

2-011.2%

1-111.0%

2-19.7%

0-07.2%

3-06.6%

Recent form

Riga FCWWDD

KairatLLW

Expected goals

1.77Riga FC

0.86Kairat

Over 2.5 goals49%

Both teams to score48%

Match DNA

Riga FC Kairat

Key points

Riga FC have 2 wins in their last 4 matches.
Kairat have 1 wins in their last 3 matches.
Riga FC is priced at 1.92.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2Riga FC win1.92Fair (+2.6%)

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1	2	3
0	7	6	3
1	13	11	5	1
2	11	10	4	1
3	7	6	2
4	3	3	1
5	1

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Riga FC at 52%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Kairat at 22%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market leans toward Riga FC. Riga FC is priced at 1.92. The draw is priced at 3.48. Kairat is priced at 4.06.

Riga FC have 2 wins in their last 4 matches. Riga FC are on 2 wins in a row. Kairat have 1 wins in their last 3 matches.

The model gives 48% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Riga FC or Kairat?

Our model rates Riga FC as the most likely outcome at 52% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Riga FC vs Kairat?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward a balanced game.

See odds at bookmakers

League table

UEFA Conference League - League stage

#	Team	G	Form
1	Mjallby	0:0
2	Brighton & Hove Albion	0:0
3	AS Monaco	0:0
4	Jablonec	0:0
5	Gent	0:0	6a93f29d7762417de844fa23
6	Sint-Truidense	0:0
7	Freiburg	0:0
8	Atalanta	0:0
9	Ajax	0:0
10	Twente	0:0
11	Getafe	0:0
12	Kuopion Palloseura	0:0
13	CSKA Sofia	0:0
14	Hajduk Split	0:0
15	Pafos	0:0
16	AGF Aarhus	0:0	6a93f29d7762417de844fa23
17	Copenhagen	0:0
18	Midtjylland	0:0
19	Nordsjaelland	0:0
20	Panathinaikos	0:0
21	Brann	0:0
22	Braga	0:0
23	Heart of Midlothian	0:0
24	Lugano	0:0
25	Crvena Zvezda	0:0
26	Thun	0:0
27	Trabzonspor	0:0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0:0
29	Kairat	0:0
30	Egnatia	0:0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0:0
32	Zalgiris Kaunas	0:0
33	CS Universitatea Craiova	0:0
34	Iberia 1999	0:0
35	Lincoln Red Imps	0:0
36	Riga FC	0:0