Deportivo de A Coruna vs Sevilla: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Deportivo de A Corunavs
SevillaThe model puts Deportivo de A Coruna at 36%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Sevilla (0-7-8).
- +Sevilla are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Deportivo de A Coruna have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sevilla have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Deportivo de A Coruna will be without Carrillo.
- Sevilla will be without Sangante, Vargas Ru..
- Deportivo de A Coruna is priced at 2.675.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 2 | |
| 2 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 2 | |
| 3 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |
| 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Deportivo de A Coruna at 36%. The model puts the draw at 30%. The model puts Sevilla at 35%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Deportivo de A Coruna is priced at 2.675. The draw is priced at 3.03. Sevilla is priced at 2.864.
Sevilla have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 7 of their head-to-head meetings.
Deportivo de A Coruna have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Sevilla have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
Deportivo de A Coruna average 2 goals per game this season. Deportivo de A Coruna average 42% possession. Sevilla average 2 goals per game this season. Sevilla average 39% possession.
The model gives 70% for both teams to score. The model gives 71% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Deportivo de A Coruna or Sevilla?
Our model rates Deportivo de A Coruna as the most likely outcome at 36% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Deportivo de A Coruna vs Sevilla?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 0 Deportivo de A Coruna wins, 7 draws, 8 Sevilla wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.