Ipswich Town vs Fulham: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Ipswich Townvs
FulhamThe model puts Fulham at 40%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
- +Ipswich Town are dealing with notable absentees.
- −Fulham are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Ipswich Town have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Fulham have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Ipswich Town have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Ipswich Town will be without Fatawu, Taylor.
- Fulham will be without Cairney, Robinson, Tete.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 25 | 18 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 3 | 1 | |||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Ipswich Town at 32%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts Fulham at 40%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Ipswich Town is priced at 3.05. The draw is priced at 3.36. Fulham is priced at 2.34.
Ipswich Town have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. Fulham have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.
Ipswich Town have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Fulham have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
Ipswich Town average 1 goals per game this season. Ipswich Town average 41% possession. Fulham average 0 goals per game this season. Fulham average 52% possession.
The model gives 25% for both teams to score. The model gives 17% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Ipswich Town or Fulham?
Our model rates Fulham as the most likely outcome at 40% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Ipswich Town vs Fulham?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 6 Ipswich Town wins, 4 draws, 5 Fulham wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.