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England. Southern Premier League. South

Berkhamsted vs Uxbridge: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Berkhamsted BerkhamstedvsUxbridge Uxbridge
Our predictionUxbridge to win
Model score: Low · 20/100
Score hint: 0-1

The model sees this as a close contest. The model puts Uxbridge at 37%. Confidence: low.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

Our prediction missed (predicted: Uxbridge · actual: Berkhamsted)

Win probabilities

1 · Berkhamsted37%
Draw26%
2 · Uxbridge37%
1 · BerkhamstedDraw2 · Uxbridge
Full team comparison

Most likely scorelines

1-112.5%
1-010.1%
0-19.2%
2-18.5%
1-27.8%
0-07.4%
Team strength rating
Berkhamsted
62
Uxbridge
63

Recent form

BerkhamstedDWWWL
UxbridgeWWDWW

Expected goals

1.36Berkhamsted
xG
1.24Uxbridge
Over 2.5 goals48%
Both teams to score53%

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Berkhamsted Uxbridge

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Uxbridge win2.48Fair (+1.4%)
Double chanceUxbridge or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
07962
1101383
27952
3342
411
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Uxbridge2.48+1.4%
1X2Berkhamsted2.42+0.0%
1X2Draw3.28-1.4%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

Uxbridge have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Uxbridge are on 2 wins in a row. Berkhamsted have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.

Berkhamsted have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Uxbridge have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.

The model puts Berkhamsted at 37%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Uxbridge at 37%.

The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1. The model gives 53% for both teams to score.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Berkhamsted or Uxbridge?

Our model rates Uxbridge as the most likely outcome at 37% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Berkhamsted vs Uxbridge?

A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 3 meetings: 2 Berkhamsted wins, 0 draws, 1 Uxbridge wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.