Sportist Svoge vs Vihren Sandanski: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Sportist Svogevs
Vihren SandanskiThe model puts Vihren Sandanski at 54%. The model leans toward Vihren Sandanski. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Vihren Sandanski.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Sportist Svoge have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Vihren Sandanski have 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sportist Svoge have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Vihren Sandanski is priced at 1.686.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 3 | |
| 1 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Sportist Svoge at 18%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Vihren Sandanski at 54%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Vihren Sandanski. Sportist Svoge is priced at 4.835. The draw is priced at 3.24. Vihren Sandanski is priced at 1.686.
Sportist Svoge have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. Vihren Sandanski have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
Sportist Svoge have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Vihren Sandanski have 4 wins in their last 5 matches. Vihren Sandanski are on 4 wins in a row.
The model gives 47% for both teams to score. The model gives 47% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Sportist Svoge or Vihren Sandanski?
Our model rates Vihren Sandanski as the most likely outcome at 54% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Sportist Svoge vs Vihren Sandanski?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 9 meetings: 4 Sportist Svoge wins, 0 draws, 5 Vihren Sandanski wins.
Odds movement
League table
Bulgaria. Second League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vihren Sandanski | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 21:8 | 21 |
| 2 |  Fratria | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:8 | 19 |
| 3 |  Chernomorets Burgas | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:8 | 18 |
| 4 |  CSKA Sofia II | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 19:8 | 17 |
| 5 |  Nesebar | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20:15 | 17 |
| 6 |  Yantra Gabrovo | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 12:10 | 16 |
| 7 |  Beroe Stara Zagora | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 15 |
| 8 |  Rilski Sportist | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:10 | 15 |
| 9 |  Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | 15 |
| 10 |  Etar | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 17:19 | 14 |
| 11 |  Marek Dupnitsa | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 11:12 | 13 |
| 12 |  Ludogorets II | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:9 | 12 |
| 13 |  Hebar Pazardzhik | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 18:17 | 11 |
| 14 |  Montana | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:16 | 11 |
| 15 |  Spartak Pleven | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 10:19 | 10 |
| 16 | Sportist Svoge | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4:7 | 7 |
| 17 |  Dobrudzha Dobrich | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 9:14 | 6 |
| 18 |  Pirin Blagoevgrad | 10 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 4:32 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.