Lazio vs Monza 1912: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Laziovs
Monza 1912The model puts Lazio at 58%. The model leans toward Lazio. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Lazio.
- +The head-to-head record favours Lazio (4-3-0).
- −Lazio are dealing with notable absentees.
- +Monza 1912 are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Lazio have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Monza 1912 have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Lazio have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Lazio will be without Gudmundsson, Cancellieri, Marusic, Pellegrini Lu., Rovella, Furlanetto.
- Monza 1912 will be without Ziolkowski, Pessina, Toure Id., Forson, Чурриа.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 8 | 7 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 2 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Lazio at 58%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Monza 1912 at 20%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Lazio. Lazio is priced at 1.72. The draw is priced at 3.86. Monza 1912 is priced at 4.7.
Lazio have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Lazio have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Monza 1912 have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
Lazio average 2 goals per game this season. Lazio average 40% possession. Monza 1912 average 1 goals per game this season. Monza 1912 average 47% possession.
The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 57% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Lazio or Monza 1912?
Our model rates Lazio as the most likely outcome at 58% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Lazio vs Monza 1912?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 7 meetings: 4 Lazio wins, 3 draws, 0 Monza 1912 wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
Match statistics
Lazio
- 10Zaccagni
- 11Isaksen G.
- 14Noslin
- 15Floriani
- 16Frattesi
- 17Tavares N.
- 21Белахиан
- 24Taylor Ke.
- 25Provstgaard
- 35Mandas
- 37Sutalo
- Gudmundsson (Missing Player)
- Cancellieri (Missing Player)
- Marusic (Missing Player)
- Pellegrini Lu. (Missing Player)
- Rovella (Missing Player)
- Furlanetto (Missing Player)
Monza 1912
- 1Tornqvist N.
- 3Lucchesi
- 7Mangas
- 9Varela
- 10Cutrone
- 14Akinsanmiro
- 19Birindelli
- 44Carboni
- 46Robinson
- 60Kouadio
- 90Folorunsho
- Ziolkowski (Missing Player)
- Pessina (Missing Player)
- Toure Id. (Missing Player)
- Forson (Missing Player)
- Чурриа (Missing Player)
League table
Italy. Serie A| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Internazionale Milano | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 18:8 | 16 |
| 2 |  Roma | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14:3 | 13 |
| 3 | Lazio | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 13 |
| 4 |  Cagliari Calcio | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 12 |
| 5 |  Milan | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:4 | 11 |
| 6 |  Juventus | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 10 |
| 7 |  Como | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 10 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:6 | 10 |
| 9 |  Frosinone Calcio | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 10 |  Sassuolo Calcio | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:9 | 7 |
| 11 |  Atalanta | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5:7 | 6 |
| 12 |  Lecce | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5:10 | 6 |
| 13 |  Udinese Calcio | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8:11 | 4 |
| 14 |  Torino | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 15 | Monza 1912 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8:12 | 4 |
| 16 |  Genoa | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5:11 | 4 |
| 17 |  Parma | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4:10 | 4 |
| 18 |  Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7:14 | 4 |
| 19 |  Bologna 1909 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | 2 |
| 20 |  Unione Venezia | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 4:13 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.