Torino vs Udinese Calcio: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Torinovs
Udinese CalcioThe model puts Torino at 41%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Udinese Calcio (5-2-8).
- −Torino are dealing with notable absentees.
- +Udinese Calcio are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Torino have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Udinese Calcio have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Torino have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Torino will be without Adams, Israel F., Casadei C., Pellegri.
- Udinese Calcio will be without Arizala, Palma, Gueye, Zaniolo, Piotrowski J..
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 1 | |
| 3 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 3 | ||
| 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 5 | 1 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Torino at 41%. The model puts the draw at 28%. The model puts Udinese Calcio at 31%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Torino is priced at 2.304. The draw is priced at 3.22. Udinese Calcio is priced at 3.22.
Torino have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. Udinese Calcio have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Torino have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Udinese Calcio have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
Torino average 1 goals per game this season. Torino average 47% possession. Udinese Calcio average 3 goals per game this season. Udinese Calcio average 41% possession.
The model gives 69% for both teams to score. The model gives 71% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Torino or Udinese Calcio?
Our model rates Torino as the most likely outcome at 41% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Torino vs Udinese Calcio?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 5 Torino wins, 2 draws, 8 Udinese Calcio wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
Match statistics
Torino
- 5Comert E.
- 8Mandragora
- 10Vlasic
- 15Comuzzo
- 18Simeone G.
- 20Perri L.
- 21Braganca D.
- 23Coco S.
- 28Fitz-Jim
- 29Fortini
- 77Cacciamani
- Adams (Questionable)
- Israel F. (Missing Player)
- Casadei C. (Questionable)
- Pellegri (Missing Player)
Udinese Calcio
- 8Karlstrom Jes.
- 9Davis K.
- 11Camara
- 14Abankwah
- 23Vojvoda
- 27Kabasele C.
- 28Solet
- 32Ekkelenkamp
- 38Miller
- 40Okoye Ma.
- 46Gomes
- Arizala (Questionable)
- Palma (Questionable)
- Gueye (Missing Player)
- Zaniolo (Missing Player)
- Piotrowski J. (Missing Player)
League table
Italy. Serie A| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Internazionale Milano | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 18:8 | 16 |
| 2 |  Roma | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14:3 | 13 |
| 3 |  Lazio | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 13 |
| 4 |  Cagliari Calcio | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 12 |
| 5 |  Milan | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:4 | 11 |
| 6 |  Juventus | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 10 |
| 7 |  Como | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 10 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:6 | 10 |
| 9 |  Frosinone Calcio | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 10 |  Sassuolo Calcio | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:9 | 7 |
| 11 |  Atalanta | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5:7 | 6 |
| 12 |  Lecce | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5:10 | 6 |
| 13 | Udinese Calcio | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8:11 | 4 |
| 14 | Torino | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 15 |  Monza 1912 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8:12 | 4 |
| 16 |  Genoa | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5:11 | 4 |
| 17 |  Parma | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4:10 | 4 |
| 18 |  Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7:14 | 4 |
| 19 |  Bologna 1909 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | 2 |
| 20 |  Unione Venezia | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 4:13 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.