Real Sociedad vs Deportivo de A Coruna: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Real Sociedadvs
Deportivo de A CorunaThe model puts Real Sociedad at 56%. The model leans toward Real Sociedad. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Real Sociedad.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Real Sociedad have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Deportivo de A Coruna have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Real Sociedad have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Real Sociedad is priced at 1.736.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16 | 9 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 21 | 11 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 13 | 7 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 6 | 3 | ||||
| 4 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Real Sociedad at 56%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Deportivo de A Coruna at 19%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Real Sociedad. Real Sociedad is priced at 1.736. The draw is priced at 3.78. Deportivo de A Coruna is priced at 4.7.
Real Sociedad have won 6 of the head-to-head meetings. Deportivo de A Coruna have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 5 of their head-to-head meetings.
Real Sociedad have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Deportivo de A Coruna have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
Deportivo de A Coruna average 1 goals per game this season. Deportivo de A Coruna average 39% possession.
The model gives 30% for both teams to score. The model gives 28% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Real Sociedad or Deportivo de A Coruna?
Our model rates Real Sociedad as the most likely outcome at 56% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Real Sociedad vs Deportivo de A Coruna?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 6 Real Sociedad wins, 5 draws, 4 Deportivo de A Coruna wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
League table
Spain. La Liga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31:7 | 21 |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:7 | 16 |
| 3 |  Real Betis | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 16 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 18:8 | 15 |
| 5 |  Sevilla | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:9 | 13 |
| 6 |  Deportivo Alaves | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:6 | 11 |
| 7 | Deportivo de A Coruna | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:8 | 10 |
| 8 | Real Sociedad | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 9 |  Villarreal | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13:12 | 8 |
| 10 |  Athletic Bilbao | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 8 |
| 11 |  Getafe | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4:7 | 8 |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:16 | 8 |
| 13 |  Osasuna | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:13 | 8 |
| 14 |  Celta | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:6 | 7 |
| 15 |  Espanyol | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10:10 | 7 |
| 16 |  Racing de Santander | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 11:21 | 7 |
| 17 |  Levante UD | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:12 | 5 |
| 18 |  Elche | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 11:17 | 5 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4:13 | 4 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3:12 | 3 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.