Real Betis vs Osasuna: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Real Betisvs
OsasunaThe model puts Real Betis at 62%. The model leans toward Real Betis. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Osasuna (2-3-10).
- −Real Betis are dealing with notable absentees.
- +Osasuna are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Real Betis have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Osasuna have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Real Betis have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Real Betis will be without Losada, Ruibal A., Firpo J..
- Osasuna will be without Bonel, Barja E., Del Castillo R., Moro, Oroz, Herrando.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Real Betis at 62%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Osasuna at 18%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Real Betis. Real Betis is priced at 1.47. The draw is priced at 4.5. Osasuna is priced at 6.6.
Real Betis have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Osasuna have won 10 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Real Betis have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Osasuna have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 43% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Real Betis or Osasuna?
Our model rates Real Betis as the most likely outcome at 62% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Real Betis vs Osasuna?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 2 Real Betis wins, 3 draws, 10 Osasuna wins.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.