Levante UD vs Sevilla: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Levante UDvs
SevillaThe model puts Sevilla at 39%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Sevilla (3-2-10).
- +Levante UD are dealing with notable absentees.
- −Sevilla are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Levante UD have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sevilla have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Levante UD have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Levante UD will be without Primo, Sotelo, Eyong E..
- Sevilla will be without Vargas Ru., Teixeira Mar., Stassin.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | |
| 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Levante UD at 34%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Sevilla at 39%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-3.
The market frames this as a close contest. Levante UD is priced at 2.765. The draw is priced at 3.3. Sevilla is priced at 2.575.
Levante UD have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Sevilla have won 10 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Levante UD have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Sevilla have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Levante UD average 4 goals per game this season. Levante UD average 32% possession. Sevilla average 2 goals per game this season. Sevilla average 42% possession.
The model gives 85% for both teams to score. The model gives 89% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Levante UD or Sevilla?
Our model rates Sevilla as the most likely outcome at 39% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Levante UD vs Sevilla?
A scoreline around 2-3 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 3 Levante UD wins, 2 draws, 10 Sevilla wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
Match statistics
Levante UD
- 2Mandi A.
- 4Barquilla
- 7Brugue
- 8Olasagasti
- 9Romero
- 13Ryan M.
- 18Bardeli
- 20Rey
- 22Toljan
- 23Sanchez Man.
- 24Fernandez
- Primo (Questionable)
- Sotelo (Questionable)
- Eyong E. (Questionable)
Sevilla
- 1Vlachodimos O.
- 2Iglesias Sanchez
- 4Salas
- 5Lopez Gallo A.
- 6Agoume
- 8Kochorashvili G.
- 9Ure R.
- 17Suazo G.
- 20Correia F.
- 24Fofana
- 30Sierra
- Vargas Ru. (Questionable)
- Teixeira Mar. (Missing Player)
- Stassin (Questionable)
League table
Spain. La Liga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 34:7 | 24 |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18:8 | 19 |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 19:8 | 18 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 16 |
| 5 | Sevilla | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:9 | 13 |
| 6 |  Deportivo Alaves | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:8 | 11 |
| 7 |  Deportivo de A Coruna | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:8 | 10 |
| 8 |  Real Sociedad | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 9 |  Athletic Bilbao | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 8 |
| 10 |  Villarreal | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 13:13 | 8 |
| 11 |  Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:11 | 8 |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:16 | 8 |
| 13 |  Getafe | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4:10 | 8 |
| 14 |  Osasuna | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:13 | 8 |
| 15 |  Celta | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:6 | 7 |
| 16 |  Racing de Santander | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 11:21 | 7 |
| 17 | Levante UD | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:12 | 5 |
| 18 |  Elche | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 11:17 | 5 |
| 19 |  Malaga | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4:13 | 4 |
| 20 |  Valencia | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4:13 | 4 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.