England. League One

Cambridge United vs Wimbledon: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

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Cambridge Unitedvs

Wimbledon

Our predictionCambridge United to win

Model score: Medium · 45/100

Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Cambridge United at 50%. The model leans toward Cambridge United. Confidence: medium.

Why this prediction

+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.

−Recent form favours Wimbledon.
−The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
−Cambridge United are dealing with notable absentees.
+Wimbledon are dealing with notable absentees.

Win probabilities

1 · Cambridge United50%

Draw26%

2 · Wimbledon25%

1 · Cambridge UnitedDraw2 · Wimbledon

Full team comparison →

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Wimbledon4.28+2.9%

BTTSNo1.85+0.6%

BTTSYes1.85-0.6%

1X2Draw3.52-0.8%

1X2Cambridge United1.81-2.1%

Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Recent form

Cambridge UnitedDLWLL

WimbledonWDLDW

Team strength rating

Cambridge United

Wimbledon

Most likely scorelines

1-012.2%

1-111.4%

2-010.4%

2-19.7%

0-07.2%

0-16.7%

Expected goals

1.70Cambridge United

0.93Wimbledon

Over 2.5 goals49%

Both teams to score49%

Match DNA

Cambridge United Wimbledon

Key points

Cambridge United have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
Wimbledon have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Cambridge United have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
Cambridge United will be without Hoddle, McLoughlin She., Stead, Bauer P..
Wimbledon will be without Stevens M., Browne Mar., Cornick, Tilley.

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment

1X2Cambridge United win1.81Fair (-2.1%)

Double chanceCambridge United or draw—Info

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A	0	1	2	3
0	7	7	3
1	12	11	5	2
2	10	10	5	1
3	6	6	3
4	3	2	1
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Full analysis

The model puts Cambridge United at 50%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Wimbledon at 25%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market leans toward Cambridge United. Cambridge United is priced at 1.81. The draw is priced at 3.52. Wimbledon is priced at 4.28.

Cambridge United have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Wimbledon have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.

Cambridge United have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Wimbledon have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.

The model gives 49% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track Record →Methodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Cambridge United or Wimbledon?

Our model rates Cambridge United as the most likely outcome at 50% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Cambridge United vs Wimbledon?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

What's the head-to-head record?

In the last 10 meetings: 3 Cambridge United wins, 3 draws, 4 Wimbledon wins.

See odds at bookmakers

Match statistics

Player of the matchKnight B.Cambridge United8.5