Stockport County vs Peterborough United: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Stockport Countyvs
Peterborough UnitedThe model puts Stockport County at 69%. The model leans toward Stockport County. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Stockport County score more per game (3.0 at home vs 0.0 away).
- −Recent form favours Stockport County.
- +Stockport County creates more chances (21 vs 12 shots per game).
- −The head-to-head record favours Peterborough United (4-3-7).
- −Stockport County are dealing with notable absentees.
- +Peterborough United are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Stockport County have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Peterborough United have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Stockport County have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Stockport County will be without Rydel, Sidibeh, Hills B..
- Peterborough United will be without Adebisi, Frith, Masara, Garbett, O'Connor T., Hughes.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 12 | 8 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 11 | 7 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 3 | 2 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Stockport County at 69%. The model puts the draw at 15%. The model puts Peterborough United at 16%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Stockport County. Stockport County is priced at 1.32. The draw is priced at 5.4. Peterborough United is priced at 7.85.
Stockport County have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. Peterborough United have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Stockport County have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Peterborough United have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Stockport County average 3 goals per game this season. Stockport County average 64% possession. Peterborough United average 0 goals per game this season. Peterborough United average 57% possession.
The model gives 43% for both teams to score. The model gives 57% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Stockport County or Peterborough United?
Our model rates Stockport County as the most likely outcome at 69% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Stockport County vs Peterborough United?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 14 meetings: 4 Stockport County wins, 3 draws, 7 Peterborough United wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Match statistics
Stockport County
- 1Whatmuff
- 4Beith L.
- 5Pye
- 6O'Connell E.
- 7Diamond J.
- 10Norwood O.
- 15Glover
- 16Wood H.
- 19Wootton K.
- 23Osborn Be.
- 24Gordon
- Rydel (Questionable)
- Sidibeh (Missing Player)
- Hills B. (Questionable)
Peterborough United
- 1Bass A.
- 2Johnston Ca.
- 4Kelly L.
- 7Jones
- 9Leonard
- 11Edwards
- 12Feeney
- 14Mills
- 19Shofowoke
- 26Okagbue D.
- 27Ormerod
- Adebisi (Missing Player)
- Frith (Missing Player)
- Masara (Missing Player)
- Garbett (Missing Player)
- O'Connor T. (Missing Player)
- Hughes (Missing Player)
League table
England. League One| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bradford City | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 15 |
| 2 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13:6 | 14 |
| 3 |  Plymouth Argyle | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14:10 | 13 |
| 4 |  Huddersfield Town | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:6 | 12 |
| 5 |  Cambridge United | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:10 | 12 |
| 6 |  Oxford United | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:7 | 11 |
| 7 |  Wimbledon | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | 11 |
| 8 |  Reading | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:7 | 10 |
| 9 | Stockport County | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 16:10 | 10 |
| 10 |  Leyton Orient | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13:9 | 10 |
| 11 |  Stevenage | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:8 | 9 |
| 12 |  Burton Albion | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 13 |  Leicester City | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 14 |  Wycombe Wanderers | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:14 | 9 |
| 15 |  Blackpool | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13:13 | 8 |
| 16 |  Luton Town | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12:14 | 8 |
| 17 |  Mansfield Town | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:13 | 8 |
| 18 |  Barnsley | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7:12 | 8 |
| 19 |  Bromley | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Notts County | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 21 |  Doncaster Rovers | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | 6 |
| 22 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8:10 | 6 |
| 23 | Peterborough United | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4:12 | 5 |
| 24 |  Wigan Athletic | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 5:12 | 4 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.