Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Brighton & Hove Albionvs
Crystal PalaceThe model puts Brighton & Hove Albion at 60%. The model leans toward Brighton & Hove Albion. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Brighton & Hove Albion.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Brighton & Hove Albion have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Crystal Palace have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Brighton & Hove Albion have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Brighton & Hove Albion is priced at 1.615.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 13 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Brighton & Hove Albion at 60%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Crystal Palace at 18%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Brighton & Hove Albion. Brighton & Hove Albion is priced at 1.615. The draw is priced at 4.28. Crystal Palace is priced at 4.98.
Brighton & Hove Albion have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Crystal Palace have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 7 of their head-to-head meetings.
Brighton & Hove Albion have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Brighton & Hove Albion are on 3 wins in a row. Crystal Palace have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 44% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Brighton & Hove Albion or Crystal Palace?
Our model rates Brighton & Hove Albion as the most likely outcome at 60% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 3 Brighton & Hove Albion wins, 7 draws, 5 Crystal Palace wins.
League table
England. Premier League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13:5 | 15 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 12 |
| 3 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16:5 | 10 |
| 4 |  Brentford | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10:4 | 9 |
| 5 |  Leeds United | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:3 | 9 |
| 6 |  Liverpool | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 7 |  Everton | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:3 | 9 |
| 8 |  Hull City | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:4 | 8 |
| 9 |  Newcastle United | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 8 |
| 10 |  Chelsea | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:12 | 7 |
| 11 |  Ipswich Town | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:11 | 6 |
| 12 |  Manchester United | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 5 |
| 13 |  Nottingham Forest | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 14 |  Sunderland | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:10 | 4 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:11 | 4 |
| 16 |  Aston Villa | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:9 | 4 |
| 17 |  Bournemouth | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | 3 |
| 18 |  Coventry City | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1:10 | 3 |
| 19 |  Fulham | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5:8 | 2 |
| 20 |  Tottenham Hotspur | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2:8 | 2 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.