Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Tottenham Hotspurvs
Coventry CityThe model puts Tottenham Hotspur at 62%. The model leans toward Tottenham Hotspur. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Coventry City (3-3-9).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Tottenham Hotspur have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Coventry City have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Tottenham Hotspur have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Tottenham Hotspur is priced at 1.485.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 14 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 3 | 9 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Tottenham Hotspur at 62%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Coventry City at 18%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Tottenham Hotspur. Tottenham Hotspur is priced at 1.485. The draw is priced at 4.54. Coventry City is priced at 6.2.
Tottenham Hotspur have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Coventry City have won 9 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Tottenham Hotspur have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Coventry City have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 43% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Tottenham Hotspur or Coventry City?
Our model rates Tottenham Hotspur as the most likely outcome at 62% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Tottenham Hotspur vs Coventry City?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 3 Tottenham Hotspur wins, 3 draws, 9 Coventry City wins.
League table
England. Premier League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16:5 | 18 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10:5 | 15 |
| 3 |  Brighton & Hove Albion | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18:5 | 13 |
| 4 |  Brentford | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12:6 | 10 |
| 5 |  Everton | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:5 | 10 |
| 6 |  Chelsea | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15:13 | 10 |
| 7 |  Leeds United | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 8 |  Hull City | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:6 | 9 |
| 9 |  Liverpool | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:7 | 9 |
| 10 |  Ipswich Town | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 11 |  Newcastle United | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:13 | 8 |
| 12 |  Crystal Palace | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:12 | 7 |
| 13 |  Manchester United | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:9 | 6 |
| 14 | Coventry City | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5:11 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nottingham Forest | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 16 |  Aston Villa | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:11 | 5 |
| 17 |  Sunderland | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6:12 | 4 |
| 18 |  Bournemouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7:13 | 3 |
| 19 | Tottenham Hotspur | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:9 | 3 |
| 20 |  Fulham | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6:10 | 2 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.