West Ham United vs Queens Park Rangers: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
West Ham Unitedvs
Queens Park RangersThe model puts West Ham United at 63%. The model leans toward West Ham United. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +West Ham United score more per game (4.0 at home vs 2.0 away).
- +West Ham United creates more chances (19 vs 13 shots per game).
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
- +West Ham United controls more of the ball (56% vs 50%).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- West Ham United have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Queens Park Rangers have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- West Ham United have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- West Ham United is priced at 1.54.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | ||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 4 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 5 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts West Ham United at 63%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Queens Park Rangers at 16%. The model's most likely scoreline is 3-1.
The market leans toward West Ham United. West Ham United is priced at 1.54. The draw is priced at 4.33. Queens Park Rangers is priced at 5.25.
West Ham United have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. Queens Park Rangers have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 6 of their head-to-head meetings.
West Ham United have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Queens Park Rangers have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
West Ham United average 4 goals per game this season. West Ham United average 56% possession. Queens Park Rangers average 2 goals per game this season. Queens Park Rangers average 50% possession.
The model gives 71% for both teams to score. The model gives 90% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, West Ham United or Queens Park Rangers?
Our model rates West Ham United as the most likely outcome at 63% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for West Ham United vs Queens Park Rangers?
A scoreline around 3-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 5 West Ham United wins, 6 draws, 4 Queens Park Rangers wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
England. Championship| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:6 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16:12 | 15 |
| 4 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15:10 | 14 |
| 5 |  West Bromwich Albion | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 7 |  Stoke City | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:12 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bristol City | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:12 | 13 |
| 9 |  Charlton Athletic | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | 12 |
| 10 |  Birmingham City | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:11 | 11 |
| 11 |  Millwall | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15:15 | 11 |
| 12 |  Lincoln City | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:8 | 11 |
| 13 |  Southampton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19:10 | 10 |
| 14 |  Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Bolton Wanderers | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:15 | 10 |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 17 |  Norwich City | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 16:17 | 9 |
| 18 |  Sheffield United | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 19 |  Portsmouth | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:10 | 8 |
| 20 |  Watford | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:10 | 8 |
| 21 |  Cardiff City | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | 7 |
| 22 |  Derby County | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 7:14 | 5 |
| 23 |  Preston North End | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 8:15 | 4 |
| 24 |  Burnley | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9:17 | 4 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.