Volendam vs VVV-Venlo: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Volendamvs
VVV-VenloThe model puts Volendam at 57%. The model leans toward Volendam. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Volendam.
- +The head-to-head record favours Volendam (7-4-3).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Volendam have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- VVV-Venlo have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Volendam have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Volendam is priced at 1.72.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Volendam at 57%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts VVV-Venlo at 23%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Volendam. Volendam is priced at 1.72. The draw is priced at 4.33. VVV-Venlo is priced at 3.74.
Volendam have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings. VVV-Venlo have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.
Volendam have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. VVV-Venlo have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 47% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Volendam or VVV-Venlo?
Our model rates Volendam as the most likely outcome at 57% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Volendam vs VVV-Venlo?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 14 meetings: 7 Volendam wins, 4 draws, 3 VVV-Venlo wins.
Match statistics
Volendam
- 1Jurjus
- 2Ugwu
- 4Schouten E.
- 6Plat A.
- 7Doodeman
- 8Huisman
- 9Veerman H.
- 10Niemeijer
- 15Klein
- 18Bukala
- 25Blondeau
VVV-Venlo
- 4Clancy
- 5de Blok
- 7Zuliani
- 8M'Hand
- 9Tsigkas
- 11Ait Mouhou
- 13Schoonerwaldt
- 14Vullers
- 24Odriss
- 33Blancquart
- 38Schenkhuizen
League table
Netherlands. Eerste Divisie| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Heracles Almelo | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 24:10 | 18 |
| 2 |  Almere City | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18:7 | 16 |
| 3 | VVV-Venlo | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 19:11 | 15 |
| 4 |  Waalwijk | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 18:9 | 13 |
| 5 |  Vitesse | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:9 | 13 |
| 6 |  MVV Maastricht | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:15 | 13 |
| 7 |  AZ Alkmaar II | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 22:17 | 13 |
| 8 |  Roda JC Kerkrade | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:5 | 12 |
| 9 |  Emmen | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:17 | 12 |
| 10 |  PSV Eindhoven II | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:16 | 12 |
| 11 |  NAC Breda | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13:15 | 10 |
| 12 |  Eindhoven | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:13 | 10 |
| 13 | Volendam | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 17:14 | 9 |
| 14 |  Helmond Sport | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13:12 | 8 |
| 15 |  AFC Ajax II | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13:22 | 8 |
| 16 |  Den Bosch | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12:16 | 7 |
| 17 |  Dordrecht | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12:23 | 7 |
| 18 |  Utrecht II | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15:21 | 7 |
| 19 |  Oss | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 8:12 | 6 |
| 20 |  De Graafschap | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8:20 | 4 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.