Emmen vs Oss: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Emmenvs
OssThe model puts Emmen at 57%. The model leans toward Emmen. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Recent form favours Oss.
- −The head-to-head record favours Oss (4-3-8).
- −Emmen are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Emmen have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Oss have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Emmen have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Emmen will be without Amadin N., Dirk BaronAchilles Tendon Injury, Claridge Jensen, Mukeh, Квиспел, van Manen.
- Oss will be without Henry.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Emmen at 57%. The model puts the draw at 19%. The model puts Oss at 24%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Emmen. Emmen is priced at 1.53. The draw is priced at 4.45. Oss is priced at 5.
Emmen have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. Oss have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Emmen have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Oss have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 47% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Emmen or Oss?
Our model rates Emmen as the most likely outcome at 57% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Emmen vs Oss?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 4 Emmen wins, 3 draws, 8 Oss wins.
Match statistics
Emmen
- 1Karssies
- 3Dede-Lhomme
- 4Остергор
- 6Staring
- 9Cooper Love
- 12Quispel
- 17Van Hove
- 21Hojabrpour
- 22Breij M.
- 24Everink
- 40Veldhuis
- Amadin N. (Missing Player)
- Dirk BaronAchilles Tendon Injury (Missing Player)
- Claridge Jensen (Missing Player)
- Mukeh (Missing Player)
- Квиспел (Questionable)
- van Manen (Missing Player)
Oss
- 1Havekotte M.
- 2Pata
- 3Miguel
- 8Esajas M.
- 10van der Venne
- 11Mathieu
- 17Hinoke
- 19Nsingi
- 22Erkan
- 23Vianello
- 26Kuijpers
- Henry (Missing Player)
League table
Netherlands. Eerste Divisie| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Heracles Almelo | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 24:10 | 18 |
| 2 |  Almere City | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18:7 | 16 |
| 3 |  VVV-Venlo | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 19:11 | 15 |
| 4 |  Waalwijk | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 18:9 | 13 |
| 5 |  Vitesse | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:9 | 13 |
| 6 |  MVV Maastricht | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:15 | 13 |
| 7 |  AZ Alkmaar II | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 22:17 | 13 |
| 8 |  Roda JC Kerkrade | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:5 | 12 |
| 9 | Emmen | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:17 | 12 |
| 10 |  PSV Eindhoven II | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:16 | 12 |
| 11 |  NAC Breda | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13:15 | 10 |
| 12 |  Eindhoven | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:13 | 10 |
| 13 |  Volendam | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 17:14 | 9 |
| 14 |  Helmond Sport | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13:12 | 8 |
| 15 |  AFC Ajax II | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13:22 | 8 |
| 16 |  Den Bosch | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12:16 | 7 |
| 17 |  Dordrecht | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12:23 | 7 |
| 18 |  Utrecht II | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15:21 | 7 |
| 19 | Oss | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 8:12 | 6 |
| 20 |  De Graafschap | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8:20 | 4 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.