Leek Town vs Hyde United: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Leek Townvs
Hyde UnitedThe model puts Leek Town at 43%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Leek Town have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Hyde United have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Leek Town have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Leek Town is priced at 2.12.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Leek Town at 43%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Hyde United at 31%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Leek Town is priced at 2.12. The draw is priced at 3.44. Hyde United is priced at 2.891.
Leek Town have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 5 of their head-to-head meetings.
Leek Town have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Hyde United have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Leek Town or Hyde United?
Our model rates Leek Town as the most likely outcome at 43% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Leek Town vs Hyde United?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 1 Leek Town wins, 5 draws, 0 Hyde United wins.
Odds movement
League table
England. Northern Premier League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cleethorpes Town | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 24:5 | 22 |
| 2 |  Avro | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 28:16 | 22 |
| 3 |  Redcar Athletic | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 18:6 | 21 |
| 4 |  Guiseley | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22:10 | 19 |
| 5 |  Warrington Town | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18:14 | 17 |
| 6 |  Bury | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 19:8 | 16 |
| 7 |  Curzon Ashton | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 8 |  Workington | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:15 | 16 |
| 9 |  Gainsborough Trinity | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14:12 | 13 |
| 10 |  Rylands | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 12:13 | 13 |
| 11 |  Alfreton Town | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 15:10 | 12 |
| 12 |  Whitby Town | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 14:24 | 12 |
| 13 |  Ashton United | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10:9 | 11 |
| 14 | Hyde United | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10:17 | 11 |
| 15 |  Emley | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | 10 |
| 16 |  Lancaster City | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 9:17 | 10 |
| 17 |  Bamber Bridge | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14:27 | 9 |
| 18 |  Stockton Town | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 13:20 | 8 |
| 19 |  Ilkeston | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 6:21 | 7 |
| 20 | Leek Town | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 17:19 | 6 |
| 21 |  Quorn | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 12:23 | 6 |
| 22 |  United of Manchester | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 12:19 | 5 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.