Worcester City vs Banbury United: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Worcester Cityvs
Banbury UnitedThe model puts Worcester City at 43%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Worcester City.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Worcester City have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Banbury United have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Worcester City is priced at 2.24.
- Banbury United is priced at 3.07.
- The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
Worcester City have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Banbury United have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
Worcester City is priced at 2.24. Banbury United is priced at 3.07. The market frames this as a close contest.
The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0. The model gives 51% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Worcester City or Banbury United?
Our model rates Worcester City as the most likely outcome at 43% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Worcester City vs Banbury United?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 2 meetings: 0 Worcester City wins, 1 draws, 1 Banbury United wins.
Odds movement
League table
England. Southern Premier League. Central| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Real Bedford | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 22:7 | 21 |
| 2 |  Alvechurch | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15:2 | 18 |
| 3 |  Bury Town | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15:7 | 18 |
| 4 |  Bromsgrove | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 13:5 | 18 |
| 5 |  Kettering Town | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10:2 | 15 |
| 6 |  Anstey Nomads | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13:7 | 14 |
| 7 |  Rushall Olympic | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13:11 | 12 |
| 8 |  Leiston | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:12 | 11 |
| 9 |  Needham Market | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:11 | 10 |
| 10 |  Bishop's Stortford | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:11 | 10 |
| 11 |  Stourbridge | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:7 | 9 |
| 12 |  Peterborough Sports | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 13 |  Redditch United | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | 9 |
| 14 |  Halesowen Town | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7:8 | 9 |
| 15 |  Racing Club Warwick | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8:12 | 6 |
| 16 |  Leighton Town | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10:15 | 5 |
| 17 | Worcester City | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5:10 | 5 |
| 18 |  Leamington | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:13 | 5 |
| 19 | Banbury United | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:13 | 5 |
| 20 |  Hitchin Town | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6:11 | 4 |
| 21 |  Stratford Town | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4:13 | 3 |
| 22 |  Stamford | 8 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 1:21 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.