Borussia Monchengladbach vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Borussia Monchengladbachvs
TSG 1899 HoffenheimThe model puts TSG 1899 Hoffenheim at 45%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: low.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Borussia Monchengladbach (7-4-4).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Borussia Monchengladbach have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Borussia Monchengladbach have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings.
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim is priced at 2.02.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 1 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Borussia Monchengladbach at 32%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts TSG 1899 Hoffenheim at 45%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward TSG 1899 Hoffenheim. Borussia Monchengladbach is priced at 3.2. The draw is priced at 4.06. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim is priced at 2.02.
Borussia Monchengladbach have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.
Borussia Monchengladbach have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Borussia Monchengladbach or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim?
Our model rates TSG 1899 Hoffenheim as the most likely outcome at 45% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Borussia Monchengladbach vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 7 Borussia Monchengladbach wins, 4 draws, 4 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim wins.
League table
Germany. Bundesliga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Freiburg | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | 13 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11:4 | 13 |
| 3 |  Bayern Munich | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16:4 | 11 |
| 4 |  Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:8 | 10 |
| 5 |  RasenBallsport Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15:5 | 9 |
| 6 |  Augsburg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 8 |
| 7 |  Werder Bremen | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 8 |  1. FSV Mainz 05 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13:10 | 7 |
| 9 |  Elversberg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:8 | 7 |
| 10 |  1. Koln | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:10 | 7 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8:9 | 6 |
| 12 |  Hamburger | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5:15 | 6 |
| 13 |  Schalke 04 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 14 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9:16 | 5 |
| 15 |  Paderborn 07 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3:7 | 4 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:17 | 4 |
| 17 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 9:13 | 3 |
| 18 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 7:18 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.