Osasuna vs Racing de Santander: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Osasunavs
Racing de SantanderThe model puts Osasuna at 49%. The model leans toward Osasuna. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Racing de Santander (4-2-8).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Osasuna have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Racing de Santander have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Osasuna have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Osasuna is priced at 1.885.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10 | 8 | 3 | |||
| 1 | 15 | 12 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Osasuna at 49%. The model puts the draw at 26%. The model puts Racing de Santander at 25%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Osasuna. Osasuna is priced at 1.885. The draw is priced at 3.54. Racing de Santander is priced at 4.16.
Osasuna have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. Racing de Santander have won 8 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 2 of their head-to-head meetings.
Osasuna have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Racing de Santander have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Racing de Santander average 2 goals per game this season. Racing de Santander average 41% possession.
The model gives 44% for both teams to score. The model gives 41% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Osasuna or Racing de Santander?
Our model rates Osasuna as the most likely outcome at 49% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Osasuna vs Racing de Santander?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 14 meetings: 4 Osasuna wins, 2 draws, 8 Racing de Santander wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
League table
Spain. La Liga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31:7 | 21 |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:7 | 16 |
| 3 |  Real Betis | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 16 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 18:8 | 15 |
| 5 |  Sevilla | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:9 | 13 |
| 6 |  Deportivo Alaves | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:6 | 11 |
| 7 |  Deportivo de A Coruna | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:8 | 10 |
| 8 |  Real Sociedad | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 9 |  Villarreal | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13:12 | 8 |
| 10 |  Athletic Bilbao | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 8 |
| 11 |  Getafe | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4:7 | 8 |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:16 | 8 |
| 13 | Osasuna | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:13 | 8 |
| 14 |  Celta | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:6 | 7 |
| 15 |  Espanyol | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10:10 | 7 |
| 16 | Racing de Santander | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 11:21 | 7 |
| 17 |  Levante UD | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:12 | 5 |
| 18 |  Elche | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 11:17 | 5 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4:13 | 4 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3:12 | 3 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.