Monza 1912 vs Cagliari Calcio: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Monza 1912vs
Cagliari CalcioThe model puts Monza 1912 at 44%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Monza 1912.
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Monza 1912 have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Cagliari Calcio have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Monza 1912 have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Monza 1912 is priced at 2.29.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | |
| 2 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 3 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Monza 1912 at 44%. The model puts the draw at 30%. The model puts Cagliari Calcio at 27%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.
The market frames this as a close contest. Monza 1912 is priced at 2.29. The draw is priced at 3.16. Cagliari Calcio is priced at 3.32.
Monza 1912 have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. Cagliari Calcio have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Monza 1912 have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Cagliari Calcio have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
Monza 1912 average 2 goals per game this season. Monza 1912 average 43% possession. Cagliari Calcio average 2 goals per game this season. Cagliari Calcio average 45% possession.
The model gives 68% for both teams to score. The model gives 71% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Monza 1912 or Cagliari Calcio?
Our model rates Monza 1912 as the most likely outcome at 44% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Monza 1912 vs Cagliari Calcio?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 8 meetings: 3 Monza 1912 wins, 3 draws, 2 Cagliari Calcio wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
Italy. Serie A| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Internazionale Milano | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 18:8 | 16 |
| 2 |  Lazio | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11:4 | 16 |
| 3 |  Roma | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14:3 | 14 |
| 4 | Cagliari Calcio | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 13 |
| 5 |  Milan | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:5 | 12 |
| 6 |  Juventus | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 11 |
| 7 |  Como | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 11 |
| 8 |  Napoli | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:6 | 10 |
| 9 |  Frosinone Calcio | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 10 |  Atalanta | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8:8 | 9 |
| 11 |  Sassuolo Calcio | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 12 |  Torino | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 13 |  Lecce | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 14 |  Bologna 1909 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:7 | 5 |
| 15 |  Udinese Calcio | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 9:13 | 4 |
| 16 | Monza 1912 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 9:15 | 4 |
| 17 |  Genoa | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5:11 | 4 |
| 18 |  Parma | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4:10 | 4 |
| 19 |  Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7:14 | 4 |
| 20 |  Unione Venezia | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 5:16 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.