Academico de Viseu vs Estoril: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Academico de Viseuvs
EstorilThe model puts Academico de Viseu at 44%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Academico de Viseu.
- −The head-to-head record favours Estoril (2-1-4).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Academico de Viseu have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Estoril have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Academico de Viseu have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Academico de Viseu is priced at 2.27.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 27 | 15 | 4 | |||
| 1 | 21 | 11 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 3 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Academico de Viseu at 44%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Estoril at 31%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market frames this as a close contest. Academico de Viseu is priced at 2.27. The draw is priced at 3.46. Estoril is priced at 3.085.
Academico de Viseu have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Estoril have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Academico de Viseu have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Academico de Viseu are on 3 wins in a row. Estoril have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
Academico de Viseu average 0 goals per game this season. Academico de Viseu average 60% possession. Estoril average 0 goals per game this season. Estoril average 41% possession.
The model gives 22% for both teams to score. The model gives 14% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Academico de Viseu or Estoril?
Our model rates Academico de Viseu as the most likely outcome at 44% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Academico de Viseu vs Estoril?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 7 meetings: 2 Academico de Viseu wins, 1 draws, 4 Estoril wins.
League table
Campeonato de Portugal| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18:3 | 21 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22:7 | 16 |
| 3 |  Sporting Clube de Portugal | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 17:8 | 15 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11:4 | 15 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 11 |
| 6 |  Braga | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 7 | Academico de Viseu | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 8 |  Estrela da Amadora | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14:14 | 10 |
| 9 |  Gil Vicente | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 8 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | 8 |
| 11 |  Marítimo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:12 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:14 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:7 | 7 |
| 14 |  Vitoria Guimaraes | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 15 |  Nacional da Madeira | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 7:15 | 4 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 5:15 | 4 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 3:16 | 4 |
| 18 | Estoril | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3:10 | 2 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.