Newcastle Jets vs Gamba Osaka: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Newcastle Jetsvs
Gamba OsakaThe model puts Gamba Osaka at 52%. The model leans toward Gamba Osaka. Confidence: low.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Gamba Osaka have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Gamba Osaka is priced at 1.816.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 2 | |
| 1 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 2 | |
| 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Newcastle Jets at 26%. The model puts the draw at 22%. The model puts Gamba Osaka at 52%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Gamba Osaka. Newcastle Jets is priced at 3.74. The draw is priced at 4.22. Gamba Osaka is priced at 1.816.
Gamba Osaka have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 46% for both teams to score. The model gives 42% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Newcastle Jets or Gamba Osaka?
Our model rates Gamba Osaka as the most likely outcome at 52% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Newcastle Jets vs Gamba Osaka?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward a balanced game.
Odds movement
League table
AFC Champions League Elite - League stage| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kashima Antlers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 3 |  Shanghai Port | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:4 | 3 |
| 4 |  Beijing Guoan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 6 |  Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 7 |  Daejeon Hana Citizen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 8 |  Buriram United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 9 |  Darul Takzim | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 10 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 11 |  Port | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 12 |  Kyoto Sanga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 13 |  Ratchaburi | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4:6 | 0 |
| 14 |  Pohang Steelers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 15 |  Hanoi Police | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 16 | Newcastle Jets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:7 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.