Bradford City vs Peterborough United: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Bradford Cityvs
Peterborough UnitedThe model puts Bradford City at 59%. The model leans toward Bradford City. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Bradford City.
- +The head-to-head record favours Bradford City (7-4-2).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Bradford City have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Peterborough United have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Bradford City have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Bradford City is priced at 1.696.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Bradford City at 59%. The model puts the draw at 23%. The model puts Peterborough United at 18%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-1.
The market leans toward Bradford City. Bradford City is priced at 1.696. The draw is priced at 3.88. Peterborough United is priced at 4.84.
Bradford City have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings. Peterborough United have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 4 of their head-to-head meetings.
Bradford City have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Peterborough United have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Bradford City average 1 goals per game this season. Bradford City average 42% possession. Peterborough United average 3 goals per game this season. Peterborough United average 44% possession.
The model gives 60% for both teams to score. The model gives 72% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Bradford City or Peterborough United?
Our model rates Bradford City as the most likely outcome at 59% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Bradford City vs Peterborough United?
A scoreline around 2-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 13 meetings: 7 Bradford City wins, 4 draws, 2 Peterborough United wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.