Frome Town vs Taunton Town: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Frome Townvs
Taunton TownThe model puts Frome Town at 51%. The model leans toward Frome Town. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Taunton Town.
- +The head-to-head record favours Frome Town (4-1-1).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Frome Town are on 2 wins in a row.
- Frome Town have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings.
- The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
- Frome Town is priced at 2.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Frome Town at 51%. The model puts Taunton Town at 28%.
Frome Town are on 2 wins in a row. Frome Town have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Taunton Town have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
Frome Town have won 4 of the head-to-head meetings. Taunton Town have won 1 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0. The model gives 50% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Frome Town or Taunton Town?
Our model rates Frome Town as the most likely outcome at 51% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Frome Town vs Taunton Town?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 6 meetings: 4 Frome Town wins, 1 draws, 1 Taunton Town wins.
Odds movement
Match statistics
Match story
How the game unfoldedCautious start, both sides feeling each other out. (0–0)
An end-to-end spell with goals at both ends (Zack Ali (20'), David Duru (22'), Unknown (29')). Score moves to 2–1.
Half-time score: Frome Town 2 – 1 Taunton Town.
The game settles after the break without a breakthrough. (2–1)
A tense finish, but the scoreline stays put. (2–1)
League table
England. Southern Premier League. South| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Plymouth Parkway | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23:8 | 20 |
| 2 |  Uxbridge | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19:8 | 20 |
| 3 |  Hanworth Villa | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | 19 |
| 4 |  Bath City | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 17 |
| 5 |  Poole Town | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Chertsey Town | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 20:15 | 14 |
| 7 | Frome Town | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:8 | 13 |
| 8 |  Evesham United | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:14 | 13 |
| 9 |  Chichester City | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 10 |  Berkhamsted | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 11:14 | 13 |
| 11 |  Wimborne Town | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:4 | 12 |
| 12 | Taunton Town | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 21:20 | 12 |
| 13 |  Gosport Borough | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 11 |
| 14 |  Yate Town | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:15 | 11 |
| 15 |  Sholing | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:12 | 10 |
| 16 |  Bracknell Town | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:17 | 10 |
| 17 |  Basingstoke Town | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 18 |  Hanwell Town | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:10 | 7 |
| 19 |  Gloucester City | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12:17 | 7 |
| 20 |  Chippenham Town | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 7:16 | 7 |
| 21 |  Havant & Waterlooville | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 9:16 | 5 |
| 22 |  Malvern Town | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 13:25 | 5 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.